CCS: A 2 Degree Solution is unrealistic as evidenced by Shell stating in its "Oceans scenario" that
"...greenhouse gas emissions follow a pathway worryingly much higher than the 2°C goal, which in turn further increases the focus on adaptation to the effects of climate change".
An excellent Dkos diary of May 17, 2015 entitled "
Shell Oil Caught Planning for Deadly 4 to 6 Degree Rise in Global Temperature" is worth reading. And ask who benefits and what changes are planned by Shell in its idea of "adaptation to the effects of climate change".
Royal Dutch Shell annual general meeting of Shell shareholders and U.S. Members of Congress should see this "immersive animated journey depicting the scale of global carbon emissions and fossil fuel consumption". (runs 4.5 minutes; from WBCSD - World Business Council for Sustainable Development)
As the UN Climate Summit last September (2014) kicked off, the WBCSD launched a short 3D animation making the case for Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) in the context of rising energy demand, a global net zero emissions target for society and the trillion tonne concept. The animation focuses on conveying the size of the challenges ahead and provides a sense of scale to intangible concepts such as CO2 emissions and large numbers such as a trillion tonnes of carbon.
Do you want to see the maths? CCS film methodology can be accessed here:
http://wbcsdservers.org/...
What short & long games are these guys working on? Who made the CCS: A 2 Degree Solution video from WBCSD? Here is data about the WBCSD Executive Committee 2015, including WBCSD Vice Chair Marvin Odum of Royal Dutch Shell who works as President and US Country Chair, Shell Oil Company & Upstream Americas. Remember that CCS: A 2 Degree Solution was done in 2014; its Membership of WBCSD is graphically shown here; its Action2020 platform for sustainability in action is here; Action2020 – in fewer words... Because pictures speak louder than words, an infographic to explain what Action2020 is about is here. WBCSD also has a site online about its Vision 2050 report including a Poster and a Mural from 29 WBCSD member companies that developed a vision of a world well on the way to sustainability by 2050 and the pathways leading to that world. Also see the fully illustrated document about How Can the Vision 2050 Pathway Info-Mural be Used? The poster and the mural, for example, can be projected onto a wall in a strategic location where use can be informal or formal purposes. There are a Generic short (PowerPoint) presentation and many more "Download tools" you can find on the Vision 2050 site. So, these guys mean business.
Peter Bakker, president and CEO of WBCSD (World Business Council for Sustainable Development), as COP21 comes into focus for 30 November to 11 December 2015, recently put up this blog:
Earth demands urgent action on climate change.
note: (Content on this page is brought to you by The B Team, to inspire business leaders working towards a Plan B for Business that prioritizes people, planet and profit. The B Team are a sponsor of Davos coverage and the Bold bets series.)
In 2013, following a series of workshops with civil society leaders, systems experts, sustainability pioneers, economists and entrepreneurs, a group of business leaders came together with a shared belief that
Plan A – where companies have been driven by the profit motive alone – is no longer acceptable.
They agreed to work together to advance a plan for better business and, inspired by the work of Lester Brown and the B Corp movement, they called it “Plan B”.
COP21 is the 21st yearly session of the Conference of the Parties (COP 21) to the 1992 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), entered into force on 21 March 1994, now having 195 Parties to the Convention. (The U.S. signed 6-12-1992, ratified 10-15-92, and had its entry into force 3-21-94).
Royal Dutch Shell shareholders and U.S. Members of Congress should see these tools and should hear our comments in the Kossak community on the ideas and issues these tools raise in our minds.
The WBCSD notions are large and complex. My own first reaction is that a sense of urgency is lacking, goals are too slight, and that the "business as usual" processes of legislative and regulative work are too unresponsive. Yet I am glad the various data linked above is available freely online for people with the gumption to investigate and consider it all.
The WBCSD visions are too slight because of the limits that would be breached if/when average global temperatures rise more than the unrealistically low CCS: A 2 Degree Solution that Shell helped to put together despite the Shell position that, as it says in its "Mountains scenario"
"overall, the emissions pathway until the middle of the century overshoots the trajectory of a 2°C goal"
I suggest people read the study and consider the survival barrier:
An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress by Steven C. Sherwood and Matthew Huber ~~~~ Edited by Kerry A. Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, and approved March 24, 2010 (received for review November 19, 2009) in which is stated the notion that
"...it is often assumed that humans would be able to adapt to any possible warming. Here we argue that heat stress imposes a robust upper limit to such adaptation. Peak heat stress, quantified by the wet-bulb temperature TW, is surprisingly similar across diverse climates today. TW never exceeds 31°C. Any exceedence of 35°C for extended periods should induce hyperthermia in humans and other mammals, as dissipation of metabolic heat becomes impossible. While this never happens now, it would begin to occur with global-mean warming of about 7°C, calling the habitability of some regions into question."
For every 1°C that the global average temperature rises,
maximum wet-bulb temperatures will rise by about 0.75°C (
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol 107, p 9552).
Also, look at past warm periods and consider the status of mammals before, during, and after them.
An example to see is the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum (PETM) 55.5 million years ago. There are millions and billions of people today who do not want to be bothered about "science" but the geologic record nonetheless reveals that “…many mammals became smaller during this time, with some halving in mass.”
The Guardian reported on May 17, 2015 that
Charlie Kronick, climate campaigner at campaign group Greenpeace, said Shell and IEA saw fossil fuels continuing to be burned, with the earth facing temperature rises of 3.7°C or 4°C in the short term, mounting to 6°C later on.
So, if Current
TW of 31°C is summed with { 0.75°C
TW rise per 1°C global average temperature rise multiplied by 6°C Shell and IEA forecast }, then resulting are 35.5°C wet-bulb temperatures above the limit of
TW 35°C for life-sustaining mammalian dissipation of metabolic heat.
omg. note to Shell & all fools: Leave It In The Ground.
.